Pending Sales Up, But Inventory Continues to Rise
Following the typical pattern for real estate, the Denver market was relatively quiet last month. A bump in pending sales likely reflected mortgage rates easing in anticipation of a coming interest rate drop. However, detached home prices remained tempered and active listings increased year-over-year.
Looking at the single-family, detached segment, there were 3,690 new listings in August. While up by 7.21% compared to the prior year, this number continues to drop month-over-month. While somewhat typical for this time of year, it could also mean that home sellers are waiting to go on the market once The Fed lowers interest rates—which in turn will likely lead to lower mortgage rates and potentially more buyers.
As for last month's 2,836 pending sales, that figure increased by 2.38% compared to July and by 13.62% year-over-year. Despite this uptick, the Denver real estate market remains decently stocked with inventory. August closed with 7,497 active listings which is an increase of 1.72% versus July and 50.85% more inventory than 2023. This has created a more buyer-friendly environment that may or may not last for very long if and when an official interest rate decrease happens later this month.
Meanwhile, buyers who know, know. They are shopping around. Days on market for detached homes stands at 36, up by 28.57% month-over-month and by 38.46% year-over-year. The median home price of $650,500 is slightly below July's and basically on par with 2023. And buyers are paying 98.6% of the asking price as well, which means they are getting thousands of dollars in savings right off the top.
In addition, buyers continue to negotiate while sellers who want to keep their deal on track continue to adjust their prices, offer concessions, and meet in the middle with buyers who put an offer on the table.
Libby Levinson-Katz, Chair of the DMAR Market Trends Committee, had this to say about the Denver real estate market:
"Generally, there does not seem to be a large sense of urgency for buyers or sellers. Buyers continue to watch the homes that have come up on searches and may even be tempted to take a look. However, they aren't placing offers on homes unless it perfectly aligns with their wish list. The DMAR Market Trends Committee has noted that transactions falling out of contract are on the rise. This may be due to cold feet from buyers, the rise in contingent offers, lending issues, or bullish sellers unwilling to negotiate inspection items."
As for attached properties, such as condos and townhomes, the numbers were more extreme in certain areas. New listings were down just slightly month-over-month and year-over-year. Pending sales increased by 7.91% over July but decreased by 6.56% compared to 2023. Closed transactions also decreased by 27.40% year-over-year and total sales volume is down by 32.67% from last year's numbers.
The outcome was 3,227 active listings at the close of August, another massive increase of 70.92% compared to the prior year. The average time on market also came in at 41 days, 64% higher than in 2023.
This likely reflects, "higher HOA dues, along with increased taxes and insurance premiums," states Levinson-Katz. "Some associations have adjusted their deductible to help offset costs, but those changes have in turn made lending more difficult. As a result, this segment has become more challenging to put transactions together."
Accordingly, the median price for attached properties came in at $396,350 which is a decrease of 4.49% compared to the prior month and 5.18% below the prior year. And sellers are continuing to close for below their listing price. Again, there are potential bargains to be found and room to negotiate, but keep in mind the pros and cons, and always work with a real estate agent to look into an HOA's finances before moving forward.
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